Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 8.378449 9.585488 10.919359 12.505085 14.341949 16.406447 18.907803
2025-07-20 6.858548 8.445503 10.342651 12.786781 15.865250 19.631109 24.613106
2025-07-27 6.051129 7.857114 10.142676 13.265800 17.450895 22.905206 30.617172
2025-08-03 5.199787 7.040854 9.478596 12.970411 17.889295 24.638633 34.716984
2025-08-10 4.587230 6.438871 8.987887 12.791231 18.387502 26.421239 39.010912
2025-08-17 4.102252 5.943950 8.568162 12.628743 18.841313 28.130496 43.339736
2025-08-24 3.692850 5.505604 8.169989 12.430766 19.185330 29.668358 47.539155
2025-08-31 3.336825 5.105563 7.779839 12.187394 19.406790 31.004052 51.530677
2025-09-07 3.199933 5.024274 7.861623 12.681583 20.840774 34.412985 59.371206
2025-09-14 3.004401 4.828882 7.740067 12.823660 21.692342 36.925406 65.945263
2025-09-21 2.797428 4.594230 7.529916 12.789074 22.225175 38.926320 71.817806
2025-09-28 2.593258 4.345190 7.271388 12.640439 22.530873 40.538048 77.135382
2025-10-05 2.500512 4.280553 7.324740 13.055731 23.917272 44.307399 87.192039
2025-10-12 2.395058 4.184103 7.313023 13.349571 25.105419 47.832879 97.240161
2025-10-19 2.329099 4.151345 7.409856 13.851353 26.740677 52.404368 110.083179
2025-10-26 2.155682 3.907742 7.099976 13.541892 26.732504 53.664127 115.943753
2025-11-02 2.014714 3.713004 6.864497 13.354189 26.947537 55.398781 123.080969
2025-11-09 1.888621 3.536375 6.648580 13.183980 27.177584 57.182409 130.561645
2025-11-16 1.769108 3.363151 6.425119 12.976607 27.304198 58.748212 137.731888
2025-11-23 1.654392 3.190695 6.189521 12.721702 27.299005 60.013920 144.337167
2025-11-30 1.630320 3.196882 6.311971 13.239330 29.065860 65.520785 162.361894
2025-12-07 1.569811 3.124337 6.267323 13.388159 30.005288 69.194234 176.194813
2025-12-14 1.495766 3.018341 6.144690 13.351930 30.507341 71.870019 187.761929